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War and Peace - August 2009

The Nato Effort in Afghanistan

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DEVELOPMENTS

Recent months have seen key changes in the leadership of NATO and a renewed public focus on its operation in Afghanistan.  Former Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen took over as secretary-general of NATO earlier this month and named Afghanistan as his number one priority, noting his commitment to preventing Afghanistan “from becoming again the Grand Central Station of international terrorism.”  At the military level, U.S. General Stanley A. McChrystal assumed command of both the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) and of U.S. Forces – Afghanistan (USFOR-A) in June 2009 and has shifted the emphasis of the mission towards protecting the Afghan civilian population.

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The Price of Success: Obama’s Efforts to Reform Military Spending in the Midst of Two U.S. Wars

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Barack ObamaDEVELOPMENTS

Speaking before a national Veterans of Foreign Wars convention Monday in Phoenix, Arizona, U.S. President Barack Obama had sharp words for members of Congress. “If Congress sends me a defense bill loaded with a bunch of pork, I will veto it.” Obama’s warning comes after the House approved in late July by a vote of 400-30 a $636 billion Pentagon spending bill, as the Pentagon executes an obstacle-laden withdrawal from Iraq while shifting U.S. military might to Afghanistan.

Obama’s reasons for moderating the defense budget are many.  To name a few, record levels of government spending to combat the financial crisis and stimulate the recession economy has diminished the government’s stores of financial flexibility, stores which it must ration ever more scrupulously to achieve the Obama administration’s ambitious agenda – a public healthcare option, alternative energy entrepreneurship, and an expanded diplomatic corps. Most significantly for the Pentagon, a long-standing call for reforming defense spending, contracting and procurement, most recently espoused by Defense Secretary Robert Gates in Foreign Affairs magazine, is also motivating Obama’s stern message.   The administration’s success or failure in achieving the defense spending reforms it seeks will profoundly affect not only the Iraq and Afghan wars, but also the future of U.S. military policy. 

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Western Sahara: Looking for Hope in the Desert

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Smara campDEVELOPMENTS

Western Sahara is never front-page news, but it deserves more attention.  Its political status is the subject of one of Africa’s longest territorial disputes, a puzzle of realpolitik and rule of law that has lasted 34 years.  Morocco contends that it should have sovereignty over Western Sahara while granting the region some measure of political and cultural autonomy.  The Polisario Front, the government-in-exile of Western Saharan ethnic groups, holds that the territory’s final status should be decided in a referendum, with the option of independence.  The protracted lack of a solution has fostered terrorism, and resulted in human rights abuses and lost economic opportunities. 

The U.N. quietly continues to take steps to break the political deadlock.  At the end of June, the U.N. Secretary-General’s Personal Envoy, Christopher Ross, completed a visit to North Africa, with meetings in Algeria, Mauritania, Morocco, and Spain.  Last week, Moroccan and Polisario officials met in Austria to restart a fifth round of formal peace negotiations.   

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Fool Me Once: Making Sense of North Korea’s Mixed Signals

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Bill Clinton and Kim Jong IlDEVELOPMENTS

When Laura Ling and Euna Lee flew back from 140 days of imprisonment in North Korea, it was hard not to feel elated and perhaps even hopeful for peaceful engagement with North Korea in the future.  Days later, North Korea released a South Korean worker who’d been held at the Kaesong Industrial Complex.  North Korea then announced that it would loosen border restrictions with South Korea, and Kim Jong Il made an announcement that North Korea would maintain strong relations with China.  And after a year of saber-rattling, he regime also said in late July that it would return to nuclear talks.

 

But do these positive signs necessarily point to an about face in North Korea’s foreign policy?  Given North Korea’s track record of tumultuous foreign policy practices, there is reason to suspect that these recent shifts more reflect its fluctuating short-term interests rather than a fundamental change of heart by the regime.

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War Within Families: How Child Custody Battles Impact Foreign Affairs

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Conflicts are not always between states or between tribes.  Sometimes they occur within a family.  These conflicts can also cross international borders and cause significant, lasting harm to those caught in the crossfire.  They represent a growing problem worldwide:  international parental child abduction.   


DEVELOPMENTS 
Cases of international parental child abduction have recently garnered significant media and Congressional attention.  A particular case with Brazil has received wide press coverage, from CNN to Oprah, detailing the long, painful journey for the young boy’s father and his supporters.  Secretary Clinton raised the case with the Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs, and the matter has been the subject of numerous high-level meetings between U.S. officials and the Brazilian government. 

Sadly, this incident is not alone.  In a recent joint press conference involving Secretary Clinton and Egypt's foreign minister, a reporter asked about a longstanding parental abduction of an American girl to Egypt.  Cases with Japan, Costa Rica, Mexico, and with South Korea have also drawn international attention lately.  In fact, records kept by the U.S. Department of State’s Office of Children’s Issues show more than 1,600 children wrongfully taken or kept abroad by a parent during 2008 – a sharp increase from previous years.  Additionally, records indicate nearly 500 children abducted to the United States from other countries during the last year.

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