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Kenya in Crisis

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Map of Kenya courtesy of www.goway.com

DEVELOPMENTS

More than 200,000 Kenyans have been displaced due to election-fueled ethnic chaos in this usually stable east African country.  Another 100,000 people face starvation as a result of the violence.  The intense riots and looting were touched off on December 27th when the incumbent presidential candidate, President Mwai Kibaki, declared victory over contender Raila Odinga under questionable circumstances.  The apparent manipulation of the election process, which independent election observers said failed to meet democratic standards, unleashed the ethnic frustrations of Mr. Odinga's supporters against those of President Kibaki's Kikuyu tribe. 


Close to five hundred deaths have been officially reported, although the actual number is likely to be higher.  The most shocking example of bloodletting took place in a small town in Western Kenya, where
up to fifty Kikuyus were burned alive while taking refuge in a church.  Although the violence appeared to subside at week's end, and African Union led negotiations seemed likely, a new wave of violence was sparked on January 8th when Kibaki unilaterally announced his selections for major cabinet posts.  No members of Odinga's Orange Democratic Party were selected, despite winning a majority of parliamentary seats.  Kenya's economy, the largest in East Africa, is already feeling the negative effects of destabilization.

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Enhanced Interrogation': Just a Clever Euphemism?

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courtesy of www.washingtonpost.com

DEVELOPMENTS

After being informed of a detainee's unwillingness to talk, Rendition star Meryl Streep takes a deep, suspenseful breath, looks at the hooded man, and scowls to her agent, "Put him on the plane!"  Subsequent scenes depict an Egyptian-American man tortured in a non-descript basement in what Hollywood assumes is a realistic depiction of American-sanctioned torture. But is this film on the War on Terror an example of art imitating reality? Perhaps.

 

CIA interrogation techniques were relatively secret until recently, but since their revelation in the press and elsewhere, have become increasingly controversial.  In mid-October, President Bush's nominee for Attorney General Michael Mukasey was asked, rather pointedly, whether he considered 'waterboarding,' the forced simulation of drowning, torture.  He answered noncommittally, and the issue of torture has since turned into a national dialogue on the efficacy and legitimacy of torture, euphemistically deemed by the Bush Administration as 'enhanced interrogation.' An additional story recently broke revealing that the CIA erased videotapes of military officers waterboarding Abu Zubaydah and Abd al-Rahim al-Nashiri, both high-ranking members of al-Qaeda.

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Pakistan's Wake

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DEVELOPMENTS

Former Pakistani Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto was assassinated at a political rally on December 27, less than three months after returning from exile to run for re-election in the country's parliamentary voting slated for January 8.  In the wake of Bhutto's assassination, pockets of violence gripped the country as many of her followers mourned the death of their leader.  Since that time, conspiracy allegations have mounted that the events following Bhutto's assassination justified Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf's decision to delay until February 18 the free elections scheduled for January.  Bhutto was expected to win the election, which her supporters at home and abroad contend would have returned democracy to a state that has been under military rule for almost a decade.  Although it is impossible to know what Pakistan's political future now holds, Bhutto's assassination certainly means that the U.S. will have to rework its foreign policy with regards to Pakistan.

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A New Cold Conflict: Arctic Claim Disputes

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Map of Arctic Circle courtesy of the BBC

DEVELOPMENTS

On August 2nd, 2007, Russian scientists grabbed headlines by successfully planting a titanium Russian flag on the seabed directly underneath the North Pole, more than 2.5 miles below the surface. The expedition, besides accomplishing a technological feat never before achieved, also added a bit of gamesmanship to an ongoing, but increasingly contentious, territorial dispute north of the Arctic Circle. The expedition was launched to gather support for the proposition that the Russian continental shelf extends far north into the Arctic Ocean, which would allow Russia to claim a greater share of arctic property under the existing treaty framework. The flag-planting escapade underscores the increasing importance of the dispute over arctic seabed, thought to contain significant amounts of natural resources locked deep in rock beneath the sea.

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Confronting Iran: Addressing the Need for a Coherent Foreign Policy

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Map of Iran courtesy of U.S. Institute of Peace
Map of Iran courtesy of U.S. Institute of Peace

DEVELOPMENTS

Rhetoric between Tehran and Washington is heating up again. The situation is tense as President George W. Bush and Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad spar over the recent confrontation between five Iranian Revolutionary Guard vessels and a U.S. navy warship in the Straight of Hormuz.  Vice Adm. Kevin Cosgriff, commander of the Bahrain-based U.S. 5th Fleet, reported receiving threatening radio transmissions as the Iranian Revolutionary Guard vessels closed in on the U.S. vessel on Sunday, January 6, 2008, claiming that the latter would "explode in a couple of minutes."  President Bush proclaimed that "If they hit our ships, we will hold Iran responsible," and "they'd better be careful and not be provocative."  Iranian authorities deny the legitimacy of such claims and even countered the U.S. version of the story with a video taken from one of the Iranian boats

President Bush, who recently embarked on an eight day trip to the Middle East to promote U.S. interests in the region, tried to persuade Arab nations of the imminent threat posed by Iran and to exert greater pressure on Ahmedinejad.  His audience appears hesitant, though, given the conclusions of the U.S. intelligence report that was recently released.

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